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3 posts on "Economic Insights"
June 24, 2024

Why Inflation Expectations Matter: Celebrating 10 Years of Our Survey of Consumer Expectations

In this recurring column, Kartik Athreya, the New York Fed’s Director of Research, draws connections between broader economic policy issues and our everyday lives.
 
Expectations shape behavior. That’s why the Survey of Consumer Expectations, now in its 10th year, is such an important tool for central bankers. The monthly survey, produced by our Center for Microeconomic Data, has three main components: inflation expectations, labor market expectations, and household finance expectations. While all these expectations are important, I’ll focus here on inflation expectations, and how they shape people’s actions.

May 29, 2024

When Are Demand and Supply Shocks ‘Drivers’ of Inflation?

In this recurring column, Kartik Athreya, the New York Fed’s Director of Research, draws connections between broader economic policy issues and our everyday lives.

A type of statement one frequently hears, and that I myself sometimes make, is that “inflation is being driven by item X being stuck in a supply-chain mess,” or “item Y being suddenly in great demand,” and so on.

April 9, 2024

A Focus on ‘Equitable’ and ‘Growth’ in Understanding the Economy

Though I only just joined the New York Fed in February, I’ve been closely following its equitable growth research for nearly five years. Recently, I spoke with researchers from a broad range of areas across the Federal Reserve System, including micro-, macro-, and financial economics, about why “equitable” and “growth” are important to our understanding of the economy. Given today’s release of our Equitable Growth Indicators, I want to share more broadly, in my view, why this work matters to us.

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The Teller Window is a publication featuring expert knowledge and insight from the New York Fed, including thoughts and perspectives from senior leaders. It offers a deep look at issues that matter to the Federal Reserve’s Second District and the nation.

Articles on the Teller Window focus on the people and programs that help the New York Fed support the U.S. economy. They are written for a wide audience with the aim of illustrating what we are doing and why it matters. Stories include editorials, interviews, explainers, and reports on events and trends in our communities and region. The Teller Window is edited by the Communications and Outreach Group on behalf of the New York Fed. Separately, for analysis from New York Fed economists working at the intersection of research and policy, please see Liberty Street Economics.

The New York Fed began publishing on the Teller Window in November 2022. Articles with dates earlier than November 2022 were originally published by the New York Fed on Medium.

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